WILL TURKEY INVADE SYRIA?

The spectre of armageddon has drawn one step closer to a reality with the downing of a Russian jet and the dispatching of a warship into the Mediterranean to shore up Russias bombardment of Assad's enemies.

Where is Turkey in all of this?

They tacitly support IS through an open border - oil sales and other supplies... and they like the fact that IS are dealing with the KURDS... but ... they do not like the idea of Russia pissing in its backyard...not at all... and they don't forget the downing of turkish jets by syrian forces..or the fact that they have to deal with as a transit point ... further terrorists alongside refugees compound things even further and lead to insecurity within.

Now. Turkey is a member of NATO- but reserves the right to act unilaterally to defend its own security and interests. Turkey wants Russia OUT of the equation. If you look back at the CYPRUS problem in 1974- America backed off when they were told by Turkey - get out of this... the turks historically were the colonisers of the region and Syrian turks WILL support an invasion by Turkey...as will - in theory..Iran...

But this will shift the entire balance of power in the region. Turkey can throw Assad out of power in a matter of days. Up until now Turkey has remained quiet... but if you look historically at how Ataturk dealt with the Armenian issue- and other threats to its national sovereignty... it seems that Erdogan is getting ready to invade Syria.

The parabolic of Syria is the going around and around... getting nowhere... more bombing by the coalition will not stop Assad or IS.. in fact Turkey is the only credible partner here. Will NATO support Turkey? - not at first... but they with Russia in the picture... they don't have a choice ... IF Russia press the issue and attack Turkey.

That is the biggest question... what will Russia do...?

If they intervene ... it will cost them dearly and they will probably end up fighting a useless war. IF turkey invades syria... then they shouldn't stop with rooting out ASSAD... they should continue- with NATO support and RUSSIA to annihilate Islamic STATE.


IF its done right a new government can be installed once the two objectives have been achieved... If Turkey invades alone with the support of Iran in IRAQ.. then we will see something new... a muslim coalition -( doubtful)...

it is now up to Turkey.. and Mr Erdogan... is he a grey wolf ... or is he a grey mouse?

Postnote: Russia sided with Assad. Turkey invaded. ISIS was destroyed.